正和岛的朋友大家好。很荣幸被邀请在这个群内与大家分享与交流。今天我要说的话题是「传统企业互联网转型」。
在开始之前。。。
一，在过程中，我将稍作暂停以便大家提出意见与问题。我希望这是个互动交流。三人之行，必有我师。我更希望能有互动也能向各位学习。
二，我会分享预先准备的演讲稿。交流完毕后会整理发给大家。我也会把内容发布在网上微博微信。为了保证各位的隐私，我不会发布各位在群内的互动内容，所以请大家放心畅所欲言。
三，今天参与的这个互动我仅代表我个人意见。
好的，言归正传：「传统企业互联网转型」
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Several weeks ago, Dr Lee Boon Yang, Minister for Information, Communications And The Arts, announced the launch of the RFP National Broadband Network (NBN) project for Singapore. The NBN project comes with a carrot of S$750m is a passive optical network fiber to the home (FTTH) that “will offer pervasive and competitively priced ultra high-speed broadband connectivity to business users at the workplace as well as to Singaporeans at home, schools and learning institutions and other premises.”
Surprisingly, there aren’t so much talks in the industry about the project. Perhaps it is something almost everyone wants to part-take as we can see from the 12 shortlisted consortium. The most prominent comment is a single word “Idiosyncratic” said the CEO of Telstra, who have no direct interest in this effect except perhaps not to see Australia going down the same path.
The comment probably refers to the layer separation of the services1 (see NBM slides Page 14)
The next ten years in network is going to be 10x more exciting than the last ten we have. We had our first billion internet users finally after nearly three decade but over the next ten years, we going to add another (or two) billion more easily.
What’s significant is the additional billion users will not be geeks but just ordinary user. Yep, geeks like us will be outnumbered! And to them, Internet is just a tool, like a phone and the uses of Internet is far more important then the technology driving it. We already seeing more attention have been given to the applications (bittorrent, skype, blogs) and less into the core networking technology (ipv6, ipsec) in the last couple of years.
Yet the core networking technology is more important than ever despite the lack of attention especially the core Internet is facing sever problems.
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Be afraid said Businessweek (via VoIP Watch)
The big mistake many people make with new technologies, from personal computers to the World Wide Web and, most likely, VOIP, is to compare them with existing ways of doing things, and then–big surprise!–they don’t measure up. Yet already, more than 22 million people, plus 70,000 more every day, think Skype is more than good enough, and no doubt it will get better. What’s more, it offers much more than POTS–such as the ability to know if someone’s available before you call and set up conference calls with a click. Let the so-called experts argue over how many years away the tipping point is. I and 22 million other people already know it’s here.
How true. The greatest mistake most people make is looking at disruptive technologies with the same old lens.
Just a couple of weeks ago, one friend was arguing that WiFi VoIP isn’t ready for mass adoption – it still has many problems like power (handset battery life), WLAN authentication, seamless session handover across base stations, etc etc. You know what? In the famous words of Bill Gates – “it doesn’t matter!”.
It is not how well it compares to the existing technologies; Neither is it about how many problem the new technologies has. It is question if it is good enough and you don’t argue with numbers.
I posted the following on a Stupid Network discussion over at Isen’s blog.
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On the industry aspect, the role of a pure ISP (ie, the middleman that provides IP connectivity only by procuring infrastructure from a telco) is already dead by 1996 to 1997 when the telco woke up to the idea of Internet.
Pure ISPs started disappearing, either moving up layer (like AOL) or down the layer to build infrastructure. They are been squeeze by both side afterall, with a cost squeezed by telcos and revenue squeezed by telcos.
Will such business model comes back? Maybe it will come back as a provider who can roam across multiple infrastructure (2.5G, 3G, Wifi, cable, DSL etc) but not likely in the near future given the FCC policy direction US has taken to drive infrastructure growth by removing “open access” requirements.
So the question is not who is going to build a dumb network – the telcos is; The question is how to convience the telcos that building a dumb network is in their best (business) interest.
How to think like Leonardo Da Vinci (via Dewayne-Net):
In business, it’s important to employ ambidextrous employees — people who have business and technology skills. For they can imagine the future. If you don’t employ multi-talented professionals, you lose out on business oportunities that cannot be imagined by the linear worker.
Yep, how true! It is no longer suffice for an engineer to be just an engineer and MBA to be just an MBA. Over years, I notice innovation is a often a 1+1. Take two old unrelated but established concepts, put them together and bingo, you got innovation! (e.g. Auction House + Internet = EBay!)
ps: Oh yes, it was a pleasant surprise to come across Tom Peters’ blog!! Yes!
Yesterday, the speakers have more or less covered almost all the current antispam techniques, I wonder if I should repeat them again for my talk today which will probably makes it pretty boring. Or should I do something else and make it interesting…so I did the latter :-)
Since my session is ‘Emerging Technologies’, I decided to turn my talk to ‘Emerging Spam’.
Business communications technologies has constantly evolvoing, from Postal Mail to Telegraph to Telephone to Fax to today Email. By historical trends, we should not expect Email to be the end of this evolution1.
And if we look at generic problem of “spam” (ie. bulk unsolicated commerical communication) it has also followed the communication evolution too. From Junk Mails to Junk Fax to Junk Voice Mail to Email Spam, we can also expect spams to exists in new form of communication technologies.
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Does this means the Bluetooth is dying? (via isen.blog)
Ericsson is pulling the plug on its technology licensing unit, the wholly-owned subsidiary which invented Bluetooth wireless technology and became the driving force behind the company’s Bluetooth initiative.
Or does that means they give up collecting royalty for Bluetooth and therefore, drive more adoption of Bluetooth?
I think we haven’t see end of Bluetooth yet. It might just be that Ericsson realized it does not makes enough money on quarter of a penny royalty. On the other hand, Bluetooth does has its limitation, particularly speed. As an RS232/IR replacement, it is probably suffice but not good enough.
I remember I was on a panel with Vint Cerf last month when he rumbled the difficulty of shuffling our video cable among us. I responsed him with a single word: Ultra-Wide Band. At 400mbps wireless means it is capable of replacing even our DVI cable.
Bill Koff, VP of Leading Edge Forum from CSC, is in town doing some project with us. And he gave a 2 hour presentation on some of work and we have several interesting discussions.
One of the discussion reminded me of Metcalfe’s Law and its importances to IM. As companies started to introduce IM into their workplace, very often, in the name of ‘security’, would introduce an “enterprise IM” solution, one which is isolated from the other IM networks. Sadly, they’ve forgotten the value of IM is not in the tool but the community around the it, aka Metcalfe’s Law.