September 14th, 2006

Youtube Clone

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I just found a Youtube clone in in China called 6rooms. It is so damn close that I thought it is Youtube the first time I saw it on Chinese blog until I saw the URL. In fact, after using it for a while, I think it is even better than Youtube!

Love what they did using AJAX on the site! It has all the Web 2.0 elements, AJAX, tags, Blog friendly, etc etc. Very cool!

I am going to have fun surfing the sites looking for Chinese clips.

Check out this movie preview made by a batch of 14 years olds. The power of creativity and technology :-)

September 11th, 2006

Predatory Pricing

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Someone posted a comment about Predatory pricing on my previous entry on VoIP. The premise is that Predatory pricing to gain monopoly is only a myth and mainstream economists have already rejected Predatory pricing theory.

Read The Myth of Predatory Pricing if you are interested but in short predatory pricing is economical irrational. Selling below cost is not neccessary a predatory pricing practice as sometimes it makes sense to sell below cost anticipating the cost will go down with increase volumes (e.g. Ford Model T). Most important of all, no one has successfully become a monopoly using predatory pricing tactics but there are plenty of failures trying to do so.

Nevertheless, I think the VoIP scenario in my previous entry is a case where “predatory pricing” is logical. In this case, it involves a fixed pricing of a service to the market. That although it also offers the same pricing to its competitors as well as its own subsidary (as mandated by government or fair competition or otherwise), its own subsidary is able to sell the service below the fixed pricing so long its is price above the cost of providing the service. So even though the subsidary maybe making loses, the overall company is still profitable.

Therefore, it is economic rational strategy as the company will continue to be profitable while at the sametime keeping the competitions out of the market.

But what about competition? If the company engages in predatory pricing, wont it forces the competitors to enter the market with their own service? Well, in the first place, telecom is often a coercive monopoly, a monopoly granted by statutory, that one needs to jump through hoops of regulation to break that barrier.

Assuming you can break that statutory barrier, telecom industry is also a natural monopoly. The cost of replicate an incumbent network to provide the same services is often very high with very long return on investments. Given the incumbent already has the infrastructure build out, and that so long it is willing to engage in “low-cost signaling” (a game theory), it could effectively deter investors from financing a competition.

Of course, this would only last until a new technology comes along that brings the cost or the return of investment or both down significantly. Many years ago, Microwave did that once to the (interstate-long-haul) industry creating MCI (what do you think the M in MCI stands for?). And today, it seem like WiMAX is going to do the same for the (last-mile) industry again….the question is which company will it create?

September 9th, 2006

Johannesburg…

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flexopower.JPGI got the most interesting speaker gift this trip: Flexopower, a portable solar battery charger for mobile phone made by a company in Johannesburg. I havent got the time to play with it but it sound pretty cool. Hey, now I can continue to make phone calls under the hot sun!

I also visited a very cool company by Rael Lissoos called Magnolia Wireless. It was tons of fun talking to Rael and I spend a whole morning with Rael while he drive me around and showed me some of his project. You can find more info about Rael on Esther Dyson’s flickr :-)

Notes on South Africa:

– There are 3 mobile operators: VodaCom, MTN and CellC. VodaCom, is the JV between the incumbent Telkom (51%) and Vodafone (20+%) (how surprising :-) and is the largest operator.

– They have both 2G and 3G network. For value-added service, VodCom offering HSDPA as well as DVB-H with 16 TV channels. Average ARPU seem to be pretty good at around US$50. (versa US$12 for fixed line).

– There are about 25M mobile subscribers out of 46M population.

– Internet access is expensive: on average, people are paying about US$35-40 for dialup access. One of the reasons is that South Africa has the most expensive international bandwidth at US$11,000 per mbps (other countries along the west coast of Africa is paying on average US$2,000 per mbps).

– There is this mobile app called MXit that is taking South Africa by storm. Basically, it an IM client….Er, what so special? Well, SMS cost about US$0.10 each and the data plan for 1mb cost only a small fraction of that. So the obvious choice is to dump SMS and use IM on their phone. According to a SMS Text, MXit now exceed 1M users, growing at 10,000 new users per day! A story of a simple idea at a right place at the right time…

September 6th, 2006

Forget about FTTH

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I spend quite a bit of time with Veni Markovski and his wife Elana here in Johannesburg. Veni shared a very interesting story about Internet situation in Bulgaria. There are hundreds of ISPs in Bulgari. Most of the ISPs are small, serving a few block or two. The service plan is 100mbps or 1Gbps broadband for ~US$20.

Yes, read that again: 100mbps or 1Gbps. This is very impressive considered most of them are using dialup 6 years ago. And no, they are not using Fiber to the Home. It is all UTP cables.

The ISP started to move away from dialup in 2002 when the incumbent change to a time-based charging instead of a 2cent per call fee. This makes Internet access via dialup very expensive. The nature evolution is to go to wireless, particularly 802.11b/g like most developing countries. Unfortunately (or fortunately) 2.4Ghz is a licensed band (for TV broadcasting, owned by Rupert Murdoch). So wifi wasnt an option and they went on to do UTP. So right now, they have 60 km of fiber in the country (along the highways) and hundreds of kms of UTP cable in the metro!

How does can it work when UTP requires a repeater every 100m? Well, Veni joked they forgot to read the manual and put a switch every 500m instead. And yes, it works great. For Power, well Power over UTP :-)

Incidently, Veni is really an interesting man, beside his jokes. Veni is an Internet pioneer in Bulgaria and currently on the board of ICANN as well as president of the ISOC Bulgaria.

I was surprised to learn that the current President of Bulgaria, Georgi Parvanov, was a member of ISOC Bulgaria (as well as several Ministers etc). Georgi & Veni grow up together. Georgi was elected in 2002, partly thanks to Internet movement in Bulgaria against the previous President/ex-King. I suppose that makes Georgi one of the few “Internet President”, like Korea President Roh Moo-hyun.

And also his wife, Elana…turns out our path crossed more than we thought. Elana used to work with register.com and we suddenly realized we have a lot of friends in common :-)

September 5th, 2006

VoIP in Namibia

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Was listening to Ferdinand Tjombe talking about VoIP in Namibia.

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Recently (12th May), five Chinese nationals was arrested in Namibia for using “VoIP technology”. The process was driven by incumbent operator. The interesting part is that the Chinese nationals was not given bail (when murderers and rapists does!).

The telecommunication legislation in Nambia was clear on VoIP issues actually. Shortly after this, a company tried to apply for a VoIP license and was asked to wait by the regulator for the enactment of the new Communications Bill.

A side story was that the Chineses was also found to be stealing electricity but was not charge. So the moral of the story, you can steal electricity o even rape and kill but dont do VoIP :-)

September 4th, 2006

I play WoW, I became a terrorist

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Had breakfast with Alan Levin, Esther Dyson, Veni Markovski and his wife this morning and Alan reminded us this story that was forward to IPer by Meng Wong last week. I think this has to be retold :-)

First, the boring story on MSM iPod prompts airport scare in Ottawa:

A suspicious package found in an aircraft washroom on a flight from Chicago on Tuesday afternoon brought out Ottawa police canine and bomb-disposal units. A member of the crew found the package about 4 p.m. The plane landed safely and was isolated away from the terminal.

Now, the funny version on World of Warcraft Forum :-)

It all started when I got out of my seat to go to the bathroom. I went to the bathroom, washed my hands, and returned to my seat. A little while later the two stewardesses on the flight crossed each other in the aisle. They had a quick conversation that I was in earshot of.

“I locked off the front lav. There’s something in the toilet that’s preventing it from flushing. Run some water and see if you can clear it.” My face immediately turned red. The seat cover! I thought. It must have been too big to flush! I should have thrown it out!


Read the rest of this entry »

September 4th, 2006

The Castle Kyalami

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Arrived in Johannesburg and checked into The Castle Kyalami outside the city. This is where iWeek is going to be held.

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There are wireless in the hotel but it wasn’t working very well. The hotel staff unfortunately is not helpful. So, I went around the castle and managed to figure out the cabling and found the wire room and get a bit of connectivity :-)

September 3rd, 2006

On my way….

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It was a crazy back in Singapore. Less than 4 hours of sleep daily, running from meetings to meeting in the day time, and then chucking out reports in the evening and reviewing contracts in my sleep. Gosh, I havent even see my daughter and wife for the last 48 hours!

Now, I am on my way to Johannesburg, waiting for a flight at 2am. But oh boy, I am glad. I can finally catch up some sleep! and perhap some reading…I actually got some new books lately. :-)

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The Long Tail by Chris Anderson and An Army of Davids by Glenn Reynolds

But those book has to wait since I haven’t finish my presentation for iWeek on wireless broadband yet. And I need sleep…