Bill Koff, VP of Leading Edge Forum from CSC, is in town doing some project with us. And he gave a 2 hour presentation on some of work and we have several interesting discussions. One of the discussion reminded me of Metcalfe’s Law and its importances to IM. As companies started to introduce IM into […]
Tag: Futurist
Email, a Dying Technology
A friend once told me “A guru is one who advocates common sense…except he makes sense of it before it is common.”. It is easy to look back on hindsight and make remarks how obvious things are but foresights are often not so easy. For instance, no one doubts that Internet is here to stay […]
Innovator’s Dilemma
The Innovator’s Dilemma by Clayton M. Christensen. Actually, not a new book but I digged out from my closet and re-read it last week for some internal presentations. Highly recommended for someone who is interested in technology trends. Incidently, in the course of doing research for my presentation, I also come across this article The Myth of […]
FCC Roundtable discussion on IP-based Services
FCC conducted a Global Roundtable discussion on IP-based services (basically just VoIP) 2 days ago (30th July) and the webcast is available online. (via Jeff Pulver). Yes, I sit infront of the computer for 2 hours and listen the whole webcast and here are some of my thoughts: 1. (Obvious) Take away: Regulation certainity is […]
802.11a may still win the Wifi war
With the rise of popularity of 802.11b, there are two promising work on higher speed Wifi: 802.11a that on 5Ghz range and 802.11g that on 2.4Ghz range. Both boast of similar speed at around 54mbps but 11g is backward compatibility with 11b whereas 11a isn’t. And as 11a runs on different spectrum, you need another […]
Disruptive Technologies
One of my responsiblity at work involved identifying and monitoring disruptive technologies, especially infocomm technologies that will drastically change the economic, business and social landscape in Singapore. But what is disruptive technologies and how do you identify them? In the classic Crossing the Chasm, Geoff Moore describe a Technology Adoption Lifecycle Curve1. The curve is […]
Living on the edge…
Today is a lousy day: a demo I was doing on some new technology was a disaster. The same setup works fine before the demo but somehow, it just refused to work on the critical moment. And we have some very senior folks within the group! I feel pretty crappy…:-( This feeling wasn’t really new […]
More on Horizontal Layering…
In my previous entry, I discussed about the changes in the telecommunication industry to a world where data, IP Packets particularly, is the main revenue generator1 and Voice would become just one of the many application/service provided on top of the data world. Now, such radical change is extremely disruptive even though it is likely […]
Scenario Planning: English in decline
Paul Hoffman send me this paper published by David Graddol of British Council which does a scenario planning (futorology :-) and went on to discuss what to do if English is slipping in influence due to demographic and technology trends. Scenarios are not predictions. The point of scenario planning is to help us suspend our […]
$8,000 to become your own (voip) telco
Ted Shelton done a brief analysis of the economics of starting a VOIP telco and conclude it will take only $8,000. (Via Kevin Werbach) I made a similar rant last year arguing that people will wonder why they dont do it themselves once they discover how cheap it is. I also believe that IP Telephony […]